Central banks and their role in financial turmoil

The theme of this year’s conference was “Central Banks and Financial Turmoil,” the role of central banks in preventing and overcoming turmoil, as well as the role of central banks in causing such turmoil. Icici bank interest rates for fixed deposits There are always subthemes: This year, for example, the seemingly arcane debate on risk-based capital reserves—arcane but with critical implications.

At first blush, it might make eminent sense for bank regulators to risk-base loans and require different amounts of reserve for each.


South indian bank interest rates on fixed deposits 2014 However, as so often with minutely detailed regulations, there are unintended consequences. All bank interest rates on fixed deposits 2013 John Allison, former CEO of BB&T Bank, explained how political decisions often intrude on seemingly objective decisions. Bank of india fixed deposit interest rates 2014 calculator Thus, because the government was pushing mortgages to low-income people in the early part of this century, less capital was required for subprime loans than for loans to triple-A Exxon. Lloyds bank interest rates on savings accounts No capital was required for Greek government debt. Icici bank fd interest rates 2014 And so on. Rd bank interest rates When an asset is regarded by banking regulators (not credit analysts) as low, investors flow to such assets, thereby making them more risky.

Thomas Hoenig, Vice Chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, noted that more than a century ago capital reserves for banks used to be about 50%. Bank fd interest rates in india 2013 When the Federal Reserve was created, with the implicit lender-of-last-resort role, the level of reserves dropped, and it dropped again when the FDIC, protecting individual depositors, came in. Uco bank interest rates fixed deposits Hoenig made the startling assertion that if banking losses today were of the same magnitude as in 2008, it would wipe out all tangible capital at U.S. Bank deposit interest rates uk banks.

It should hardly be a surprise that when the risk is transferred to someone else, the level of reserves drops. Present bank interest rates on fixed deposits Currently, reserves are a little over the required 10% level, although they have increased meaningfully since the 2008 credit crisis. Idbi bank fd interest rates for senior citizens This is not because of a fit of prudence on the part of the banking fraternity, but rather because banking regulators have made it increasingly difficult for banks to make loans, particularly to small business, while at the same time, the Fed is paying risk-free interest on bank reserves.

James Grant referred to the “PhD standard,” where central banks are run almost entirely by academics without any practice experience. Bank fixed deposit interest rates in india 2013 Referring to the old saying that “ships are safest when in harbor,” he quoted the head of a Scandinavian bank that “the purpose of banks is not just to not go bankrupt.” With ever-increasing regulation making loans more difficult, regulators have as a top priority that banks do not go bankrupt, but in so doing, they are failing to fulfill their purpose.

Government policy and the credit crisis Allison, no theorist but someone running a bank at the time, made the clear assertion that government housing policy was the cause of the 2008 crisis. Bank interest rates calculator india Contrary to popular belief that banks were deregulated prior to 2008, he showed how there had been a huge increase in regulations in the years before 2008, including under President G. Indian bank fd interest rates for senior citizens W. Best interest rates on bank deposits Bush. Current bank interest rates uk Under both Clinton and Bush there was enormous pressure on banks to make more low-income for political goals. Bank deposit interest rates ireland Regulators had the power to prevent a bank from so much as opening a new ATM machine if it did not increase subprime loans. Axis bank fd interest rates for senior citizens I would add that banks, quite rationally, packaged these toxic loans and got rid of them as quickly as they could.

Those themes were picked up by former senator Phil Gramm, heading of the Senator Banking Committee at the time. Bank interest rates list india It was neither low regulation (which was a myth) nor low levels of capital that caused the credit crisis. Allahabad bank interest rates on fixed deposits 2013 Rather it was that regulators forced subprime mortgages on banks, and required very little capital for such loans. Bank home loan interest rates in india 2013 Shortly before Lehman went broke, the Fed had found that over 98% of banks were well capitalized. Saraswat bank fd interest rates 2013 It was a liquidity crisis, not a solvency crisis, he noted.

Many speakers also criticized the current zero-rate policy (and even the negative rates in many countries). All bank interest rates for fixed deposit Kevin Down, professor of Finance at Durham University in England, note the perverse consequences of the zero-rate policy. Highest bank interest rates in usa Rather than pressure banks to lend and consumer to spend, they have the opposite effect; banks put more money on deposit with the Fed and consumers increase their saving. Bank of india fd interest rates 2013 calculator The personal savings rate in the U.S. Bank interest rates for fixed deposit has virtually doubled since the crisis. Bank interest rates on savings He saw little sign of the Fed and other central banks “realizing their errors;” rather, they reinforce failure by going from low interest rate to zero interest rate to negative rates. Bank interest rates on fixed deposits “Central bankers have long since lost the plot.”

Former Vice President at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Saving bank interest rates Louis Daniel Thornton called the Fed’s response to the financial crisis “a disaster.” Reinforcing many of themes of others regarding the unintended consequences of Fed policy, often precisely contrary to their intended goals, he noted that low interest rates cause excessive risk-taking among savers and those living off their savings, and among pension funds, which are forced to reach for yield in order to meet their actuarial targets.

One speaker (it could have been Jim Grant) noted, and many alluded to, the perversity that though it is commonly acknowledged that price controls distort markets, we allow the central bank to control the price of the thing most central to an economy, namely money. Bank deposit interest rates nz Many distortions flow from that.

The two best questions of the day came from two female students. Bank loan interest rates comparison The first, somewhat incredulously, commented that, “It seems you don’t think central banks are doing a good job.” The other, succinctly, asked “Why do we even have a central bank?” In answering her question, no one on that particular panel gave her a reason.

The Cato conference brings together former central bank personnel, academics and politicians. Bank rate interest rates Former key note speakers have included Ben Bernanke and Ron Paul. All bank interest rates for personal loan Topics cover history, theory and policy. Federal bank interest rates on fd Some talks at the conference are technical (missing from my brief comments), some more policy-oriented or even political. Highest bank interest rates uk I would highly recommend this annual conference to anyone interested in this money, and suggest you support Cato in order to get on their list. Indian overseas bank interest rates on fixed deposits 2014 A brief synopsis of the talks as well as full video is available here.

In his talk, Prof. Hdfc bank fd interest rates for senior citizens Down said central bankers “are doomed to remain stuck in this trap like Alice in Wonderland.” Coincidentally, I took Alice in Wonderland as my theme for a recent talk at the New Orleans Conference and discussed how to invest in this topsy-turvy world.

Right now, almost 40% of global government debt has a negative yield (and almost 80% yields less than 1%). Current bank interest rates australia Essentially, if you lend money to the government, you are guaranteed to receive less.

The policies of the Fed and other central banks since the credit crisis have had almost the reverse effects than they desired: lower bank lending, more consumer saving, higher levels of government debt, more people exiting the employment pool, low inflation, and an overall sluggish economy. Latest bank interest rates for car loan We have central banks who want to increase inflation and reduce savings. All bank interest rates list In short, one can hardly but agree with Alice when she says to the Queen: “What a strange world we live in.”

Adrian Day, London-born and a graduate of the London School of Economics, heads the money management firm Adrian Day Asset Management, where he manages discretionary accounts in both global and resource areas. Fixed deposit interest rates in indian banks latest Day is also sub-adviser to the EuroPacific Gold Fund (EPGFX). Best bank deposit interest rates in india His latest book is “Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks.”

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